02 Feb

Saturday’s Big Race Preview

Good Afternoon its Friday and that means another big Saturday Race preview from our CEO and Founder Race Reader himself Matt Mitter,

Selection 3.00 Sandown BEAT THAT 1 Point Each Way 16/1

Good Afternoon,

Lets take a look at the 3.00 at Sandown tomorrow the BetFred Heroes Handicap Hurdle which is a Grade 3 in status with at time of writing 18 runners set to line up. It is certainly an interesting race and it is good after a week of quite morbid stuff to see some good quality action.

TOP OF THE GAME is 11/2 joint favourite for Paul Nicholls and I was a little disappointed to see him as short in the betting as he was one of two horses I was left toying with. I do my own tissue of prices for Race Reader and I was hoping he would be a better price to be honest. I think the Bookmakers have his price bang on and we saw him last time in the Lanzarote over 2 Miles 5 furlongs on soft ground when finishing fourth and he has been raised 3 pounds for that. This longer trip will suit being by FLEMENSFIRTH but I am not sure the ground which is drying out will be ideal. Kempton is a flat track but it was always off the bridle from half way and just stayed on all day and though a big runner 11/2 is a bit short for this lightly raced sort. After falling this year in the race before the Lanzarote he was second and the end of last season to BEYOND CONCEIT beaten only a neck. That went on to Aintree to finish second in a grade 1 so that is some seriously good form. Off 142 he could still be well handicapped but the nagging doubt over the slightly drying ground and whether he has the speed rather than just staying means I will overlook him.

Next in the betting also at 11/2 we have MELROSE BOY  and this one is one of two who are stepping into open handicap company from Novice Hurdles. He made a very good visual impression when it won by no less than 50 lengths at Fontwell . The trouble is we just do not know what it has beaten and this is a real step up in class and is not like dotting round Fontwell. It really is impossible to know whether he is the right price or the wrong price.

GOLAN FORTUNE is next in @9/1 this is a horse who has done really well this season and comes here after winning at Kempton over 2 miles 5 in Class 3 Company. He does seem a little bit keen in his races and wheres the Cheek Pieces and he won at Ascot beating THE MIGHTY DON as well so you have to say he must be competitive. I just have a feeling that the handicapper is of course going to catch up with him and that it might well be tomorrow when he does. 9/1 seems a fair reflection of his chances but i will overlook him.

DASHING PERK is also in here @9/1 and we have to mention him because he did it very easily when winning 22 lengths at Wincanton. It is similar to MELROSE BOY in that it is very hard to gauge what it actually achieved in doing that. Off 127 he could possibly be well in and these two could be anything but we do not have enough evidence at the moment to back them but it will be fascinating to see how they get on.

Lets mention TAJ BADALANDABAD @16/1 a big price for a horse who apparently turned over a new leaf when winning at Huntingdon last time. Before that his form for trainer David pipe had been wretched and it is strange how many from that yard can suddenly turn over a new leaf isn’t it. It is almost like a magic wand is waved over them and he remains interesting here at big price but difficult to know which form he will turn up in.

Lets get down to the selection who I expected to be a shorter price and that is BEAT THAT @16/1. He is a double grade 1 winner so he certainly has the class admittedly a few years ago. By MILAN he will enjoy the trip and I thought he showed his Class over course and distance last time on good to soft ground.when third . He never gave up and kept on and on in the closing stages having looked at one stage like he would be finishing out with the washing and I think this race lacks the class angle. He has it and has proved it whereas some of the others have to prove it! I make BEAT THAT an 8/1 shot here and at 16/1 we have to be on 1 point Each Way 1/4 the odds 4 places. he may just be the forgotten horse here but he is the class angle.

In conclusion we will learn a lot about several horses tomorrow including the two horses who have been dotting up in Novice Company. I thought TOP OF THE GAME was my first choice but the Bookmakers have it priced correctly so we will go with the Class act BEAT THAT 1 Point Each Way @16/1.

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Matt Mitter aka Race Reader

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